Word is out that the snow blitz will run over us before the sun rises tomorrow. This area of low pressure will have a frightening look to it on a weatherman’s plotting computer screen. Barometric pressure will bottom out at 950 millibars which equates to 28.05 inches mercury, lower than super storm Sandy in 2012. The positive aspect of this storm is the lowest pressure area will track further off the coast than Sandy. If you have a well calibrated home barometer take look at how low your reading is early afternoon tomorrow when the storm is at its closest. Latest reliable computer models has the storm wobbling slightly more west closer to our coastline. So, wind blown snow will virtually be impossible to measure because of its fluff value and 30-40 mile per hour winds with gusts over 50. As snow bands set up there will varying intensities of snow, but will lighten up by afternoon as the storm pulls away to our northeast. This storm has the characteristics of hurricane without the warm inner core, but its tight wind gradient will create hurricane force winds near the Cape and Islands.
Yes, we may call it a BLIZZ-a-CANE.

To add insult to this bitter cold snap, a major east coast storm will be tracking up the eastern seaboard Thursday with severe wind and heavy snow. Right now Scenario #2 has the storm moving out to sea to our east with little or no impact for us, maybe just wind. Scenario #1 has the storm hugging the east coast with blizzard conditions for New England. Or scenario #3 would be a deepening low straddling between the two tracks shown with a few inches of wind driven snow for several hours. It’s too early to predict which track this potent storm will take but it should be monitored very carefully. No matter what track the storm takes another blast of sustained bitter cold will move back in after the storm passes us with gusty northwest winds that will dive wind chills to frightening lows. Stay tuned.

Another winter hike this morning brought me to a barren quarry on the New Britain/Plainville line as I headed for Pinnacle Mountain and The Metacomet Trail. As I approached this abandoned crater looking like a true moonscape the cold penetrated deeply with a feeling of isolation with my feet planted in the snow looking for any signs of life nearby. Only tracks from coyotes and bob cats were in stride with my human footprints. I’m sure they were checking me from a safe haven.
This current cold snap will continue for another ten days rivaling the one we had in December 1989 when the temperature averaged 10 degrees below normal for the month. Actually there was a 20 day period of below freezing temperatures from December 11th-31st. The following January was almost 10 degrees above normal. Mother Nature always has a way to balance things out.

Three days ago here at WeatherEast I predicted our chances for a white Christmas at 22%. After observing several computer models there’s a general agreement that a low pressure will form off Cape Cod Christmas Eve throwing back a period of snow over Connecticut for several hours, making our first White Christmas in eight years. The mantle of white over our landscapes will last through New Years Day as temperatures plummet through next week with a couple of more chances of snow later in the week. For now I’m calling for 2-4 inches of snow on the ground Christmas morning. I’ll make one more pass on this latest development Sunday.

Temperatures will fluctuate wildly the next several days from a mild day, cooler tomorrow and cold Thursday and Friday. How about the 50’s with rain Saturday and cooler Christmas Eve with showers. Changeable weather conditions may have us from the outside looking in on any chance for a white Christmas for the 8th straight year. Computers models are hinting of a possible east coast storm Christmas day as colder air returns in our area late this weekend giving us slim possibility of some frozen precipitation on Christmas. We would be on the northern fringe of snow if this storms develops. It’s way too early to have any confidence in this storm coming together. Right now I’m giving a 22% chance this will happen. I’ll keep this blog updated on any change from the 22%. So for now as we put our heads down for a long winters nap we’ll just be “Dreaming of a White Christmas”.